Home Affordability Hits Historic Lows for First-Time Buyers: Report

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 updated on June 23, 2025

Imagine saving for years, only to find that your dream home eats up nearly 60% of your income. That's the harsh reality for many Americans in 2024, as a new report from the JPMorganChase Institute reveals a housing affordability crisis unlike any in recent memory.

According to the New York Post, a devastating combination of soaring home prices and rising interest rates has pushed mortgage payments to consume a staggering share of income for first-time buyers, especially those aged 25 to 44.

Back in 2019, housing seemed within reach for many young Americans. The typical buyer spent about 30% of their monthly income on a mortgage. That was a stretch, but manageable with careful budgeting.

Post-Pandemic Price Surge Crushes Dreams

Then came the post-pandemic chaos. Home prices skyrocketed by 50% between 2019 and 2024, according to data from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Mortgage costs nearly doubled over the same period, driven by both price hikes and interest rate increases.

By 2024, the typical monthly mortgage payment had ballooned by roughly $600 compared to just five years earlier. For Americans aged 24 to 44, that means shelling out an average of 58% of their income on housing—a crushing burden.

Wage growth, while present, hasn't come close to keeping pace with these runaway costs. The result? A generation of potential homeowners is being priced out of the market they once saw as a cornerstone of wealth-building.

Suburbs and Small Towns Hit Hardest

The affordability gap isn’t just a big-city problem. Suburbs, smaller metros, and rural areas have seen a sharper decline in affordability than upscale urban centers. Post-pandemic demand, spurred by remote work, drove buyers to seek cheaper homes in less dense communities, only to find prices surging there too.

Residents of small towns and suburbs missed out on the stronger income gains enjoyed by those in densely populated metros. This disparity has left many in these areas struggling to keep up with mortgage demands. It’s a bitter irony for those who moved seeking relief.

For-sale housing stock is piling up in 2024, a clear sign of buyer hesitancy. When nearly half of your income—45% more than in 2019—goes to a mortgage, it’s no surprise that many are sitting on the sidelines.

First-Time Buyers Face Record Challenges

Even the profile of first-time buyers has shifted. The median age of those entering the housing market has hit a record high, reflecting how long it now takes to save for a down payment amidst these brutal economics.

This isn’t just a personal struggle; it’s a systemic failure of markets distorted by rapid price inflation and monetary policy missteps. Interest rate hikes, intended to cool inflation, have instead locked many out of homeownership, a key driver of long-term wealth.

For those still determined to buy, the numbers are sobering. A home that once felt like an investment now looks like a financial anchor, dragging down savings and limiting economic freedom.

What Can Aspiring Homeowners Do Now?

So, what’s the play for aspiring homeowners? First, consider delaying purchases until inventory buildup forces sellers to lower prices—patience could pay off. Second, explore less-impacted markets, though even rural areas aren’t immune to the crunch.

Finally, prioritize frugality and aggressive saving to build a larger down payment, reducing the mortgage burden. Investing in low-cost index funds while you wait can also grow your nest egg. Housing may be a cornerstone of wealth, but only if you buy on terms that don’t break you.

About Melissa Smith

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